What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Coritiba and 1.4 from Santos, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Santos come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Santos or Draw. This covers Santos or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Santos have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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