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★★★★★This is about Santos's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 72%.
Brasileirão
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
12Matches
8Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Friday 2 October
v★★★★★Saturday 3 October
Wednesday 7 October
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★★★★★This covers Bragantino or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v
★★★★★This is about Corinthians's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 73%.
v
★★★★★This is about Remo's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 73%.
v
★★★★★This is about Vitoria's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.7 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 73%.
v
★★★★★This covers Botafogo RJ or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Thursday 8 October
v★★★★★This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.4 goals (xG 1.5-0.9), and two is enough to land it, landing about 71% of the time on these numbers.
v
★★★★★This covers Flamengo RJ or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v
★★★★★This covers CA Paranaense PR or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Friday 9 October
v
★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 3.1 goals between the two (xG 2.1-1.0), landing about 72% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
v
★★★★★Palmeiras are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.8), and we make them about 63% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
