What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Gremio and 1.1 from Bahia, so Gremio come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Gremio come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Gremio or Draw. This covers Gremio or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Bahia have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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