What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Mirassol and 1.0 from Sao Paulo, so Mirassol come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Sao Paulo to score 1 or fewer. This is about Sao Paulo's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Mirassol have won two of the last three meetings.
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