What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Santos and 1.2 from Bahia, so Santos come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Santos come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Santos or Draw. This covers Santos or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Santos have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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