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Football/Canadian Premier League/Forge FC v Pacific FC
Canadian Premier League

Forge FC v Pacific FC prediction

Forge FC crestForge FC2nd of 8 · 48 ptsWWDDD
v
Pacific FC crestPacific FC8th of 8 · 14 ptsDLDWL

What to expect

We expect about 2.1 goals from Forge FC and 0.7 from Pacific FC, so Forge FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Forge FC come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Forge FC to win. Forge FC are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.7), and we make them about 71% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.22, which works out at about 82 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Forge FC are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓Pacific FC have won one of their last five.

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