How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 1. We made HFX Wanderers FC or Draw 64%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from HFX Wanderers FC and 1.4 from Atlético Ottawa, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
HFX Wanderers FC come into this on two straight wins. Atlético Ottawa come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: HFX Wanderers FC or Draw. This covers HFX Wanderers FC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Atlético Ottawa have won five of the last five meetings.
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