What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Atlético Ottawa and 1.4 from Cavalry FC, so Cavalry FC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Cavalry FC or Draw. This covers Cavalry FC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.20, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Atlético Ottawa have won one of their last three.
✓Cavalry FC are unbeaten in their last three — two wins and one draw.
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