How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Cavalry FC to win 60%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Pacific FC and 1.9 from Cavalry FC, so Cavalry FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Cavalry FC to win. Cavalry FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.9), and we make them about 62% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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