How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Forge FC (Draw No Bet) 65%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Supra du Québec and 1.7 from Forge FC, so Forge FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Forge FC (Draw No Bet). Forge FC are favoured here (xG 1.1-1.7), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Forge FC defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.48, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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