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Football/UEFA Champions League/Bayern Munich v Arsenal
UEFA Champions League

Bayern Munich v Arsenal prediction

Bayern Munich crestBayern Munich10th of 36 · 4 ptsWWWDD
v
Arsenal crestArsenal7th of 36 · 6 ptsWWLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.9 goals from Bayern Munich and 1.5 from Arsenal, so Bayern Munich come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Bayern Munich come into this on two straight draws. Arsenal come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Bayern Munich or Draw. This covers Bayern Munich or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Arsenal have won four of their last five.
✓Two of the last three meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last three meetings.

Recent results

26 Nov 2025Arsenal 3 - 1 Bayern München
17 Apr 2024Bayern München 1 - 0 Arsenal
9 Apr 2024Arsenal 2 - 2 Bayern München

Arsenal have won two of the last three meetings, with one drawn.

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More UEFA Champions League fixtures

Full fixture list
Liverpool crestLiverpoolvVillarrealVillarreal crest★★★★★
Liverpool are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.1), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookLiverpool to win · 1.54Share
Man City crestMan CityvAEKAEK crest★★★★★
Man City are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.6), and we make them about 72% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookMan City to win · 1.06Share
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