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★★★★★This covers Sp Lisbon or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Champions League
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
16Matches
5Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Tuesday 13 October
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★★★★★Arsenal are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.5), and we make them about 69% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This covers Ath Madrid or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Barcelona shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.4-2.4), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
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★★★★★Inter are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-1.4), and we make them about 60% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★RB Leipzig are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.8-1.6), and we make them about 61% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Bayern Munich shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-2.9), and we make them about 75% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
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★★★★★This covers Villarreal or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Wednesday 14 October
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★★★★★This covers Como or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Liverpool shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-2.5), and we make them about 69% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
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★★★★★Aston Villa are favoured here (xG 2.5-1.1), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Aston Villa defeat beats you.
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★★★★★This covers Porto or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers Dortmund or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★Man City are favoured here (xG 2.3-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Man City defeat beats you.
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★★★★★This covers Roma or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
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★★★★★This covers AEK or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
