Shakhtar Donetsk v Sp Lisbon prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.0 goals from Shakhtar Donetsk and 2.4 from Sp Lisbon, so Sp Lisbon come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Shakhtar Donetsk come into this on two straight wins. Sp Lisbon come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Sp Lisbon (Draw No Bet). Sp Lisbon are favoured here (xG 1.0-2.5), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Sp Lisbon defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.