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Football/EFL Championship/Lincoln v Wrexham
EFL Championship

Lincoln v Wrexham prediction

Lincoln crestLincoln21st of 24 · 15 ptsDWLLL
v
Wrexham crestWrexham15th of 24 · 18 ptsWLLWD

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from Lincoln and 1.3 from Wrexham, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Lincoln come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.5 goals (xG 1.2-1.3), and two is enough to land it, landing about 71% of the time on these numbers.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Lincoln have won one of their last five.
✓Wrexham have won two of their last five.

Recent results

3 May 2025Lincoln 0 - 2 Wrexham
26 Nov 2024Wrexham 1 - 0 Lincoln

Wrexham have won two of the last two meetings.

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More EFL Championship fixtures

Full fixture list
Norwich crestNorwichvCardiffCardiff crest★★★★★
This should be an open game: we make it around 3.6 goals between the two (xG 2.1-1.5), landing about 63% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
Match outlookOver 2.5 goals · 1.36Share
Southampton crestSouthamptonvDerbyDerby crest★★★★★
Southampton are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.0), and we make them about 69% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookSouthampton to win · 1.38Share
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