Southampton shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.9), and we make them about 58% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.4 goals in total (xG 1.3-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 53%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.5 goals in total (xG 1.4-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 74%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.2 goals in total (xG 0.9-1.2), keeping it under more often than not (about 79%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
Derby are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-1.0), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Southampton are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.9), and we make them about 65% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Wrexham are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.1), and we make them about 55% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
This is our most likely exact scoreline for the game (xG 0.6-1.3). Correct score is a long shot by nature, so treat it as a small-stakes punt rather than a banker.