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Football/EFL Championship/Norwich v Southampton
EFL Championship · Carrow Road

Norwich v Southampton prediction

Norwich crestNorwich17th of 24 · 9 ptsWWLLL
v
Southampton crestSouthampton13th of 24 · 10 ptsDWWDL

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Norwich and 1.6 from Southampton, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Norwich come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 64%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
✓Norwich have won two of their last five.
✓Southampton have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

18 Mar 2026Southampton 1 - 0 Norwich
13 Dec 2025Norwich 2 - 1 Southampton
1 Jan 2024Norwich 1 - 1 Southampton
12 Aug 2023Southampton 4 - 4 Norwich
25 Feb 2022Southampton 2 - 0 Norwich
Southampton have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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