What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from La Serena and 1.6 from Universidad de Chile, so Universidad de Chile come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
La Serena come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Universidad de Chile to win. Universidad de Chile shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.6), and we make them about 48% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 47 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.77, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
