What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Palestino and 1.3 from Universidad Católica, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Universidad Católica come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Palestino to win. Palestino are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.3), and we make them about 41% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 39 out of 100. The price on offer is 3.10, which works out at about 32 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
