What to expect
We expect about 2.3 goals from Universidad de Chile and 0.9 from Cobresal, so Universidad de Chile come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Cobresal come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Universidad de Chile to win. Universidad de Chile are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-0.9), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Cobresal have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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