How it turned out
The game finished with 4 goals. We made Under 3.5 goals 58%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
I like this pick because the price looks good. We think this game will be tight and low scoring, with not many clear chances for either team. This makes under 3.5 goals a decent choice.
What the numbers say
✓Beijing Guoan are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Shenzhen Xinpengcheng have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
21 Apr 2026Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 0 - 1 Beijing Guoan
18 Oct 2025Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 2 - 1 Beijing Guoan
10 May 2025Beijing Guoan 3 - 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
26 Jul 2024Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1 - 0 Beijing Guoan
9 Apr 2024Beijing Guoan 1 - 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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