How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Dalian Yingbo to win 57%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Dalian Yingbo and 1.1 from Qingdao Hainiu, so Dalian Yingbo come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Qingdao Hainiu come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Dalian Yingbo to win. Dalian Yingbo are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.1), and we make them about 59% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last three meetings are split 1-1, with one drawn.
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