What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Dalian Yingbo and 1.1 from Shenzhen Xinpengcheng, so Dalian Yingbo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Dalian Yingbo come into this on two straight wins. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng to score 1 or fewer. This is about Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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