What to expect
We expect about 2.5 goals from Shanghai Port and 1.0 from Liaoning Tieren, so Shanghai Port come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Liaoning Tieren to score 1 or fewer. This is about Liaoning Tieren's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 81%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
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