How it turned out
We projected about 3.7 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Over 2.5 goals 66%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Zhejiang Professional host Wuhan Three Towns at home in a Chinese Super League clash on 18 September 2026. Zhejiang sit 10th out of 16 with 28 points after 25 games and a goal difference of minus one. They are just three points ahead of Chongqing Tongliang Long and level on points with Shenzhen Peng City below them. Wuhan Three Towns are down in 15th place, also after 25 games, with 21 points and a minus four goal difference, sitting in the relegation zone. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger sit one spot above Wuhan, four points clear, while Qingdao Hainiu are seven points behind. Both clubs are fighting for survival or a climb, so the match carries real weight for the table.
Zhejiang’s form over the last eight games has been mixed. They lost 2-1 away to Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, then bounced back with a 6-0 home win over Yunnan Yukun. A 1-1 draw away at Shenzhen Xinpengcheng followed, before a 3-2 home defeat to Chengdu Rongcheng and a 2-1 loss away to Beijing Guoan. Their most recent win came at home, a 3-2 victory over Dalian Yingbo. In those eight matches they have scored 18 goals and let in 13, keeping only one clean sheet. Four of the eight games were at home and Zhejiang have won three of those, drawn none and lost one. Seven of the eight fixtures featured both sides on the scoresheet, and six saw three or more goals, showing a tendency for open, high-scoring affairs.
Wuhan Three Towns have been steadier in their last eight outings, recording three wins, four draws and a single loss. Their run began with a 1-1 home draw against Henan Songshan Longmen, then a 2-2 stalemate at home with Qingdao West Coast. They hit a big stride with a 5-1 away win over Qingdao Hainiu, followed by a 0-0 home draw with Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. The only defeat came at home, a 3-2 loss to Shanghai Port, and most recently they drew 1-1 away at Chengdu Rongcheng. Across those games Wuhan have scored 14 and conceded eight, keeping three clean sheets while failing to find the net once. The most recent result, the 1-1 draw with Chengdu, was a tightly contested match where both sides created chances but could not break the deadlock.
When the two clubs meet, Zhejiang have the clear edge. In the last five meetings Zhejiang have won four times and Wuhan only once, with no draws. Those games have produced an average of 3.4 goals. The most recent encounter, on 21 April 2026, saw Wuhan win 2-0 at Zhejiang. Given the recent high-scoring patterns of both sides and the history of goal-rich meetings, we expect another open contest with chances at both ends.
Our pick is over 2.5 goals. The expected goal totals are 2.3 for Zhejiang and 1.4 for Wuhan, giving an average of 3.7 goals in the game. The chance of this happening sits at 65 out of 100, and the price of 1.34 is shorter than our own reading, so it looks good. For the pick to fail, both teams would need to tighten up defensively and produce a low-scoring affair, something that has been rare in their recent matches. With both sides scoring frequently and a history of multiple goals, we feel the over is the sensible choice.
Recent results
Zhejiang Professional have won four of the last five meetings.
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