What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Ajax and 1.6 from Atalanta, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Atalanta come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Atalanta or Draw. This covers Atalanta or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
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