UE Tavernes v Valencia prediction

What to expect

UE Tavernes host Valencia in the Copa del Rey on 10 November 2026. The match is a knockout tie, so both clubs want to move on. UE Tavernes are the home side and will play at their own ground. Valencia travel from the mainland and have been busy lately, having played just three days ago. The fixture offers a chance for an upset, but the numbers show Valencia as the clear favourite. They are expected to score about three and a half goals, while Tavernes are expected to find the net less than one. That points to an open game with chances at both ends, but the balance is heavily in Valencia’s favour.

Valencia’s recent form is mixed. In their last eight games, they have won two, drawn three and lost three. The most recent result was a 3-0 loss at home to Real Madrid. Before that they beat Elche 1-0 away, then fell 2-1 at home to Villarreal. They have also drawn three times: 0-0 with Athletic Club at home, another 0-0 with the same side at home, and 2-2 away to Santander. In those eight matches they have scored seven goals and let in ten. They kept four clean sheets but also failed to score in three games. Four of the matches featured three or more goals, and in three of those both sides found the net. On the road in their last three outings they have won two and drawn one, so the recent trip to Tavernes comes after a short turnaround but with a decent away record.

Our pick is UE Tavernes not to score. We think the chance of Tavernes finding the net is low – about 25 % overall and only 5 % for two or more goals. Valencia, on the other hand, are likely to score at least once in 76 % of their games and to hit the net twice or more in 64 % of matches. The price we set at 1.33 reflects a good return for a bet that should succeed about three-quarters of the time. For this to go wrong, Tavernes would need to break through early and keep the pressure on, or Valencia would have to struggle to finish chances as they have done in a few recent games. If either of those happens, the bet could fail, but the odds and the statistics both point to a clean sheet for Tavernes being the most probable outcome.