What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Fluminense FC and 1.3 from SE Palmeiras, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
SE Palmeiras come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: SE Palmeiras to win. SE Palmeiras shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.3), and we make them about 39% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 37 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.67, which works out at about 37 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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