What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Hajduk Split and 1.5 from Dinamo Zagreb, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Dinamo Zagreb or Draw. This covers Dinamo Zagreb or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Dinamo Zagreb have won two of their last five.
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