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Football/Croatia HNL/NK Lokomotiva v NK Varaždin
Croatia HNL

NK Lokomotiva v NK Varaždin prediction

NK Lokomotiva crestNK Lokomotiva7th of 10 · 7 ptsWDL
v
NK Varaždin crestNK Varaždin4th of 10 · 15 ptsWDD

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from NK Lokomotiva and 1.1 from NK Varaždin, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

NK Varaždin come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: NK Varaždin or Draw. This covers NK Varaždin or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓NK Lokomotiva have won one of their last three.
✓NK Varaždin are unbeaten in their last three — one win and two draws.

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HNK Gorica are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-1.0), and we make them about 66% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Top pickHNK Gorica to win · 1.58Share
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