What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Slaven and 2.2 from Dinamo Zagreb, so Dinamo Zagreb come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Dinamo Zagreb to win. Dinamo Zagreb shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-2.2), and we make them about 66% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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