What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Osijek and 0.9 from HNK Gorica, so Osijek come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Osijek or Draw. This covers Osijek or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.18, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Osijek have won one of their last four.
✓HNK Gorica have won two of their last four.
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