How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made FK Mladá Boleslav (Draw No Bet) 59%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from FK Pardubice and 1.3 from FK Mladá Boleslav, so FK Mladá Boleslav come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: FK Mladá Boleslav (Draw No Bet). FK Mladá Boleslav are favoured here (xG 1.1-1.3), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a FK Mladá Boleslav defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.15, which works out at about 47 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright FK Pardubice win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 59%.
