What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Hradec Kralove and 1.4 from Viktoria Plzen, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Hradec Kralove have won one of their last three.
One thing to watch
A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 57%.
