What to expect
We expect about 2.3 goals from Slavia Prague and 0.6 from Bohemians 1905, so Slavia Prague come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Slavia Prague to win. Slavia Prague are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-0.6), and we make them about 84% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 84 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Bohemians 1905 a draw or better.
