Slovan Liberec v Slavia Praha: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Slavia Prague (Draw No Bet) 75%, but the stake came back in full.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 0.9 goals from Slovan Liberec and 1.7 from Slavia Praha, so Slavia Praha come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Slavia Praha come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Slavia Prague (Draw No Bet). Slavia Prague are favoured here (xG 0.9-1.7), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Slavia Prague defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.