How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made Lyngby to score 1 or fewer 79%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Brondby and 0.9 from Lyngby, so Brondby come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Brondby come into this on four straight defeats. Lyngby come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Lyngby to score 1 or fewer. This is about Lyngby's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 79%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Brondby have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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