How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 0.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Nordsjaelland and 1.0 from Odense, so Nordsjaelland come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. We make this around 2.8 goals (xG 1.8-1.0), so the line leaves room: it takes five or more to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 86%).
We put the chance of that landing at about 84 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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