What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Leverkusen and 1.6 from RB Leipzig, so Leverkusen come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
RB Leipzig come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.6 goals between the two (xG 2.0-1.6), landing about 62% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent results
Leverkusen have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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