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Football/Ecuador Serie A/Delfín v Manta
Ecuador Serie A

Delfín v Manta prediction

Delfín crestDelfín5th in Relegation Round · 32 ptsDDW
v
Manta crestManta6th in Relegation Round · 27 ptsDWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from Delfín and 0.8 from Manta, so Delfín come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Manta come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Delfín or Draw. This covers Delfín or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.16, which works out at about 86 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Delfín are unbeaten in their last three — one win and two draws.
✓Manta are unbeaten in their last three — two wins and one draw.

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