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Football/Ecuador Serie A/Guayaquil City v Libertad
Ecuador Serie A

Guayaquil City v Libertad prediction

Guayaquil City crestGuayaquil City3rd in Copa Sudamericana Play-off · 46 ptsWDWLW
v
Libertad crestLibertad1st in Copa Sudamericana Play-off · 50 ptsLWWWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Guayaquil City and 1.1 from Libertad, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Guayaquil City or Draw. This covers Guayaquil City or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Guayaquil City have won three of their last five.
✓Libertad have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent results

17 Oct 2026Libertad 4 - 0 Guayaquil City
15 Aug 2026Guayaquil City 2 - 2 Libertad
21 Apr 2026Libertad 0 - 1 Guayaquil City
10 Oct 2023Libertad 1 - 0 Guayaquil City
6 May 2023Guayaquil City 1 - 1 Libertad

Libertad have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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More Ecuador Serie A fixtures

Full fixture list
Mushuc Runa crestMushuc RunavMantaManta crest★★★★★
Mushuc Runa are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.9), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookMushuc Runa to win · 1.56Share
Every game on Sunday, 1 November 2026 →
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