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Football/EFL Cup/Liverpool v Bournemouth
EFL Cup · Anfield

Liverpool v Bournemouth prediction

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Bournemouth crestBournemouthDLLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Liverpool and 1.4 from Bournemouth, so Liverpool come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Liverpool come into this on four straight wins. Bournemouth come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Liverpool or Draw. This covers Liverpool or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
✓Liverpool have won four of their last five.
✓Bournemouth have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent results

20 Sept 2026Bournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool
24 Jan 2026Bournemouth 3 - 2 Liverpool
15 Aug 2025Liverpool 4 - 2 Bournemouth
1 Feb 2025Bournemouth 0 - 2 Liverpool
21 Sept 2024Liverpool 3 - 0 Bournemouth

Liverpool have won four of the last five meetings.

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More EFL Cup fixtures

Full fixture list
Man City crestMan CityvBradfordBradford crest★★★★★
Man City are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-0.4), and we make them about 89% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookMan City to win · 1.09Share
Every game on Tuesday, 15 December 2026 →
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