How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Ceramica Cleopatra (Draw No Bet) 63%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Al Ittihad Alexandria and 1.3 from Ceramica Cleopatra, so Ceramica Cleopatra come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Ceramica Cleopatra (Draw No Bet). Ceramica Cleopatra are favoured here (xG 0.9-1.3), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Ceramica Cleopatra defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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