What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Al Ittihad Alexandria and 1.3 from Ceramica Cleopatra, so Ceramica Cleopatra come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Ceramica Cleopatra (Draw No Bet). Ceramica Cleopatra are favoured here (xG 0.9-1.3), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Ceramica Cleopatra defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.60, which works out at about 63 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Al Ittihad Alexandria win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 68% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.