What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Al Mokawloon Al Arab and 1.2 from Al Masry SC, so Al Masry SC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Al Masry SC (Draw No Bet). Al Masry SC are favoured here (xG 0.9-1.2), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Al Masry SC defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Al Mokawloon Al Arab win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 65% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.