How it turned out
We projected about 1.8 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Al Ittihad Alexandria or Draw 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Al Ittihad Alexandria and 0.8 from Tala'ea El Gaish, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 1.8 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Tala'ea El Gaish come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al Ittihad Alexandria or Draw. This covers Al Ittihad Alexandria or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Al Ittihad Alexandria have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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