How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Pyramids FC (Draw No Bet) 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Al Masry SC and 1.6 from Pyramids FC, so Pyramids FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Pyramids FC (Draw No Bet). Pyramids FC are favoured here (xG 1.0-1.6), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Pyramids FC defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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