How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. We made Over 1.5 goals 74%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Cracovia come into this on five straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. Goals expected. The model projects about 2.4 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Cracovia are unbeaten in their last five — no wins and five draws.
✓Pogon Szczecin have won two of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
25 Apr 2026Cracovia 1 - 1 Pogon Szczecin
25 Oct 2025Pogon Szczecin 2 - 1 Cracovia
14 Mar 2025Pogon Szczecin 5 - 2 Cracovia
14 Sept 2024Cracovia 2 - 1 Pogon Szczecin
30 Mar 2024Pogon Szczecin 3 - 1 Cracovia
One thing to watch
If one side settles for what they have, or the game turns cagey, the goals can dry up in a hurry. We make it about 74% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.