How it turned out
The game finished with 3 goals. We made Lech Poznan to win 64%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Lech Poznan to win. Lech Poznan the stronger side (xG 2.0-0.9), 64% to win.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Lech Poznan are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓Piast Gliwice have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in no of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
15 Feb 2026Lech Poznan 3 - 0 Piast Gliwice
3 Feb 2026Piast Gliwice 1 - 0 Lech Poznan
24 May 2025Lech Poznan 1 - 0 Piast Gliwice
29 Nov 2024Piast Gliwice 0 - 0 Lech Poznan
10 Dec 2023Lech Poznan 0 - 1 Piast Gliwice
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for Piast Gliwice to spoil this. We make it about 64%: a lean, not a lock.
