How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 55%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Cracovia and 1.3 from Wieczysta Krakow, so Cracovia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.67, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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