How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Piast Gliwice and 1.5 from Legia, so Legia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Piast Gliwice come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.5 goals between the two (xG 1.2-1.3), landing about 75% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Piast Gliwice have won four of the last five meetings.
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