GKS Katowice v Wieczysta Krakow prediction

GKS KatowiceWLLLW

Wieczysta KrakowLLDLD

What to expect

We expect about 2.4 goals from GKS Katowice and 1.3 from Wieczysta Krakow, so GKS Katowice come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: GKS Katowice to win. GKS Katowice are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-1.3), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.25, which works out at about 44 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say

✓GKS Katowice have won two of their last five.

✓Wieczysta Krakow have not won any of their last five.

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More Ekstraklasa fixtures

Full fixture list

16:00

Wieczysta KrakowvWisla Plock

★★★★★

This covers Wieczysta Krakow or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

Match outlookWieczysta Krakow or Draw · 1.30Share

18:30

RakowvGKS Katowice

★★★★★

Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.72 est.Share

15:30

Slask WroclawvLech Poznan

★★★★★

Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.81 est.Share

18:15

JagielloniavGornik Zabrze

★★★★★

Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.81 est.Share